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Discussed:US – Nonfarm Payrolls

Actual:73K
Expected: 104k
Previous: 147k

The new data for Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) for July show an increase of only 73K jobs – significantly below expectations (147K) and below the revised previous figure (106K). This is a clear signal of a slowdown in the U.S. labor market.

Impact on the Market:

  • USD: Likely to weaken, as the weak labor report reduces the likelihood of further monetary tightening by the Fed.
  • Gold (XAU/USD): May appreciate due to a weakening dollar and increased interest in safe-haven assets.
  • Indexes (S&P 500, Nasdaq): A possible positive reaction – a weaker labor market could mean a more dovish stance from the Fed and potentially lower rates in the future.
  • Bond yields: Likely to decline due to reduced expectations for rate hikes.

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