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For Traders from Club iNSIDER: USA: What Markets Are Betting on in a Potential Fed Change

Post Views: 179 Traders in bond futures are increasing their bets on a softer turn in Federal Reserve monetary policy amid rising expectations that BlackRock Chief Investment Officer Rick Rieder will succeed Jerome Powell as head of the central bank. In recent days, activity in interest rate futures linked to the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) and the Fed’s key rate has risen noticeably. This coincides with the growing chances of Rieder becoming the next Federal Reserve chair, as he already tops market betting rankings. Open interest data for key rate and SOFR futures show a rising appetite for new positions that would benefit from a more aggressive rate-cutting cycle than current market expectations. Among the more notable movements are…

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