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Barclays: Options warn of deeper declines in GBPUSD

Price action on forward looking FX options provides an additional indication of the outlook for GBPUSD for the coming months and remains in line with the risk of higher volatility and potentially deeper declines in the cross-currency. Implied vol is the indicator on the options forex market for volatility expectations and is crucial for the formation of premium values. The indicator rose from the bottom of the pandemic at the end of September, as GBPUSD fell from nearly 1.4000 to 1.3400 and remains high to this day. The 1-month implied vol reached 8.1 out of 5.8 and recent developments have contributed to good demand in the area around 7-7.5 in recent weeks. The 1-year implied vol reached 8.6 out of…

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 Trader Aleksandar Kumanov

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