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Bitcoin, Currencies and Bubbles – Nassim Taleb

INTRODUCTIONThis discussion will apply quantitative financial concepts and economic arguments to cryptocurrencies in general and bitcoins in particular – as there are about 10,000 cryptocurrencies, we focus on the first cryptocurrency according to the original protocol [1] and the one with the largest market capitalization.In its current version, despite the hype, bitcoin failed to satisfy the concept of “currency without a ruler” (it turned out that it is not a currency at all) , can be neither a short-term nor a long-term asset with a value (“expected value” is not higher than 0), cannot operate as a reliable inflation hedge, and, worst of all, does not even constitute a means of protection against catastrophic events.Furthermore, there seems to be a…

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 Junior Trader Nikolay Yordanov

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