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Credit Suisse – CAD: Passive-Aggressive Balance Sheet Runoff; What’s The Trade?

Credit Suisse discusses CAD outlook and likes long CAD/JPY over the coming weeks. “Market focus on the BoC’s balance sheet reduction plans is likely to pick up in coming weeks. Due to the relatively short average maturity of its bond holdings, the BoC stands to have a much faster pace of balance sheet reduction than any other central bank in G10. We suspect this can add interest rate support for CAD,” CS notes. “We maintain our 1.25 USDCAD target for Q1, and now see expressing bullish CAD views via CADJPY upside as offering better risk-reward than via EURCAD downside, following the change in tide at the ECB,” CS aadds.  . CADJPY . EURCAD . USDCAD

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 Head of Trading Dimitar Kalapov

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