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Earnings Season Begins. What are the reports we are following this week

Earnings Season Overview: Key Reports for This Week

  • The Six Major U.S. Banks: Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, and Bank of America will report their Q4 earnings this week.
  • UnitedHealth: Among the S&P 500 companies expected to report this week. Earnings are expected to rise nearly 12% YoY in Q4, according to FactSet data. If these expectations hold, it would mark the strongest Q4 earnings growth since 2021.

Wednesday:

  • JPMorgan Chase Report: Before market open. Conference call at 3:30 PM ET.
    Expectations: 35% YoY earnings growth (LSEG).
    History: JPMorgan has beaten earnings expectations 82% of the time.
    What to Watch: Sustained growth in interest income, capital markets, and asset management, along with cost control.
  • Goldman Sachs Report: Before market open. Conference call at 4:30 PM ET.
    Expectations: 50% YoY earnings growth (LSEG).
    History: Goldman Sachs has surpassed earnings expectations in the last five quarters.
    What to Watch: Strong investment banking and trading revenues.
  • Wells Fargo Report: Before market open. Conference call at 5:00 PM ET.
    Expectations: Modest growth for Q4 (LSEG).
    History: Wells Fargo has beaten expectations in the last three quarters, but stocks declined after two of those reports.
  • Citigroup Report: Before market open. Conference call at 6:00 PM ET.
    Expectations: 45% YoY earnings growth (LSEG).
    History: Citi’s stock dropped after the last three reports.
    What to Watch: Progress on the restructuring strategy under CEO Jane Fraser.

Thursday:

  • Morgan Stanley Report: Before market open. Conference call at 3:30 PM ET.
    Expectations: Nearly 100% YoY earnings growth (LSEG).
    History: Success in 79% of the cases; average growth of 0.9% on earnings report days.
    What to Watch: Optimism about corporate activity and a stronger client base.
  • UnitedHealth Report: Before market open. Conference call at 3:45 PM ET.
    Expectations: 10% YoY earnings growth (LSEG).
    History: The company rarely misses forecasts, with an average growth of 0.8% on earnings report days.

Friday:

  • Bank of America Report: Before market open. Conference call at 6:00 PM ET.
    Expectations: Earnings to more than double compared to the previous period (LSEG).
    History: The stock has risen after 11 of the last 13 earnings reports.
    What to Watch: Signs of catching up with competitors.

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