Gundlach: The Fed is on the verge of inflating again



CNBS's Jeff Gundlach:

  • The Fed's job is easier, the bond market says a cut
  • The real question is what will happen to the dot plan
  • I think the dot plan will signal another cut this year and 0 for the next one
  • Obviously, short-term interest rates are beyond the control of the Fed, and this can be a big problem
  • We do not have enough reserves in the system to balance the markets
  • Rising short-term interest rates is not a good signal
  • There are niches in the system where there is no liquidity, which is when the system is stable. Imagine if there was a problem
  • I think they will expand their balance again
  • People were left with the impression that negative interest rates were almost a permanent solution to the problem
  • Negative interest rates are a short-term solution that hides a long-term debt problem
  • Today you won't hear "adjusting to the cycle in its middle"
  • The data is not at all intimidating like the one a month ago
  • The Fed doesn't really have to cut interest rates
  • Obviously Trump wants a weaker dollar

 Jr Trader Martin Nikolov

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