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Are new bottoms expected due to the aggressive policy of the Fed

As long as investors do not stop worrying about interest rates, we can expect more losses in the markets.

Expectations for further increases in interest rates coincided with another downturn in the markets. More than a week ago, expectations of a tighter monetary policy rose sharply, with concerns now that the interest rate could approach 3% by the end of the year.
According to DataTrek co-founder Nicholas Colas, the chances of new bottoms in 2022 for US markets are very high. He argues that they will not reach the bottom until the markets stop reflecting the Fed’s increasingly aggressive interest rate policy.

As of Monday afternoon, a survey showed that investors estimated the Fed’s 95.4 percent chance of taking a 50-point increase in interest rates at its meeting next week, according to CME Group’s FedWatch. A month ago this probability was 72.7%.
Now the probability that the interest rate will reach 2.75% is nearly 72.9%,. One week ago, the estimated probability was only 28.2%.

Uncertainty about the Fed’s policy and its effect on economic growth continues to grow.
The market has gone through many difficulties in adjusting to expected interest rates over the past three sessions, after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell spoke Thursday at the International Monetary Fund and voiced his commitment to tackling inflation with tighter policies.


 Dealer Anatoliy Pavlov

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