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Traders start doubting FED policy

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Debt traders are no longer so convinced that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in 2019 even once.

The December 2015 Central Bank raised interest rates eight times, and the expectations are that it will happen on December 19th. But the real expectations of the markets for rises for next year have declined taking into account a drop from last week. Trade relations between China and the US and the sale of stock markets are the reason for the decline in confidence. Analysts' latest forecast is that the Fed will raise interest rates in 2019 three more times.

Some economists also predict that Jerome Powell will become more cautious in the move to normalize monetary policy. Laurence Meyer of Monetary Policy Analytics has lowered her view of raising interest rates in two out of three.

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.

Graphs: Used with permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P.


 Jr_Trader Martin Nikolov

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