Various weather forecasts of an increase in the rate of FED



This month, US central bankers face the hardest decision over the years, raising interest rates or to wait a little longer. Whatever the decision, about half of the economists will be dissatisfied.

Forty-eight percent of respondents 54 and economists by Bloomberg News expect an increase in interest rates in September, 24 percent say that the first step will happen in December. Seventeen percent are confident that in October will increase.

Different forecasts came after the turmoil in global financial markets last week. "The chance to increase interest rates in September were below 50%, but not by much," said Roberto Pearls, a partner at Cornerstone Macro LLC in Washington and a former economist at the FED. At the same time, the Fed will not pay a high price if it decides to postpone. "There neshto that inflation screaming or yelling financial bubble ready to explode tomorrow morning," he said.

Economists who expect an increase in September are of the view that the US economy has enough momentum to shake off the recent global stock market correction, prompted by the slowdown in China

The camp, which expected an increase in December includes some influential Wall Street economists, including those of Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs Group Inc., which have not changed their forecasts despite Fischer's comments on Saturday that there are "reasonable grounds" to believe that inflation will move upward.

Most economists expect inflation to remain below 2 per cent objective of the Fed for several quarters.

"Much depends on the continued stability of financial markets and report data on jobs," said Mark Zandi, chief economist for Moody's Analytics Inc. "If the markets do not swing wildly and receive more than 200 thousand increase in employment and a further decline in the unemployment rate, then I think the chances of an increase in the interest rate in September will return over 50%."

Jr Trader E. Dimitrov

 Varchev Traders
If you think, we can improve that section,
please comment. Your oppinion is imortant for us.
WARNING: Any news, opinions, research, data or other information contained within this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment or trading advice. Varchev Finance Ltd. expressly disclaims any liability for any lost principal or profits which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. Varchev Finance Ltd. may provide information, quotes, references and links to or from other sites and blogs and other sources of economic and market information as an educational service to its clients and prospects and does not endorse the opinions or recommendations of the sites, blogs or other sources of information.
Varchev Finance


25 Canada Square, Level 33, office 50, Canary Wharf London, E14 5LQ +44 20 3608 6256

Universal numbers

World Financial Markets - 0700 17 600    Varchev Exchange - 0700 115 44

Varchev Finance Ltd is registered in the FCA (FINANCIAL CONDUCT AUTHORITY) with a passport in the United Kingdom: FCA, United Kingdom - registration number: 494 045, which allows provision of financial services in the United Kingdom.

Varchev Finance Ltd strictly comply with the statutes of the European directive MiFID (Markets in Financial Instruments). targeting increased efficiency, transparency and uniformity of financial instruments.
Varchev Finance Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Supervision Commission - Sofia, Bulgaria: License number RG-03-02-05 / 15.03.2006

The information on this site is not intended for distribution or use by any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.


CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63,41% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

chat with dealer
chat with dealer
Cookies policy