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Weekly Update on Interest Rate Expectations

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Interest Rate Cuts by the End of the Year

Fed: 75 bps (97% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)
ECB: 40 bps (60% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)
BoE: 55 bps (91% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)
BoK: 71 bps (88% probability of a rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
RBA: 60 bps (84% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)
RBNZ: 71 bps (92% probability of a rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
SNB: 27 bps (83% probability of a rate cut at the upcoming meeting)


Interest Rate Hikes by the End of the Year

BoJ: 36 bps (96% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)


 Senior Dealer Yulian Bonzov

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