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Commented: US March Retail Sales 1.4% as Expected (MoM)

Comment:
The strong growth in U.S. retail sales for March 2025 – 1.4% month-over-month and 4.6% year-over-year – signals resilient consumer demand. This could dampen expectations for interest rate cuts, despite ongoing uncertainty related to tariffs and inflation. Markets expect the Fed to keep interest rates steady, aiming to balance inflation control with sustaining economic growth. For the U.S. dollar, stronger retail sales are typically a positive signal. However, the current uncertainty surrounding tariffs and inflation may limit potential support for the currency. U.S. equity indices may react positively to strong consumer spending, but volatility related to trade policy and inflation expectations could also cap the upside potential.

Retail Sales (MoM) (Mar)
Actual: 1.4%
Forecast: 1.4%
Previous: 0.2%



Retail Sales (YoY) (Mar)
Actual: 4.60%
Previous: 3.11%


 Senior Dealer Yulian Bonzov

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