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Trading strategy on Nonfarm Payrolls

Looking at Figure 1, the vertical line marks the 8:30 a.m. EST (1:30 p.m. GMT) release of the NFP report. As you can see from the chart, there are three bars, or 45 minutes, of back-and-forth action following the release. During this time, traders do not trade until they see an inside bar. The inside bar has a square around it on the chart. This bar’s price range is fully contained by the previous bar. Traders will enter when a bar closes higher or lower than the inside bar. The next bar’s close is circled, as that is their entry; it closed above the inside bar’s high. Their stop is 30 pips below the entry price, which is marked by a solid black horizontal bar.

Because their entry occurred at approximately at 9:45 a.m. EST (2:45 p.m. GMT), they will close out their position four hours later. By entering the trade at 1.4670 and exiting four hours later at 1.4820, 150 pips were captured while risking only 30 pips. However, it should be noted that not every trade will be this profitable.


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