Downtrend Breakout
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has broken out of its descending trend channel, now trading well above its 21-day moving average. The 50-day MA sits significantly higher…
Mighty Euro Breaks Down
The euro has broken below a steep trendline, trading well under its 21-day MA for the first time since pressure began. The 50-day MA is at 1.10.
Order Restored?
Perhaps a strong phrase — but both yields and the dollar are rising, something we haven’t seen in a while.
Crowded Dollar Shorts
Lots of new short dollar positions…
Seen This Movie Before
USDJPY breaks above its short-term trendline after bouncing from massive support levels.
Key difference from past moves: yen long positions are currently massive.
You Need Fresh Dollars…
…to chase the NASDAQ.
Just Risk Reduction
Talk of the dollar’s global dominance ending is overblown — investors, especially in Europe, shifted into U.S. assets expecting a pro-business Trump 2.0 administration. Now they’re just trimming risk after the tariff shock, not leaving the U.S. altogether.
The chart shows divergence between the DXY and the trade-weighted USD index.
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